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Ben's Stab in the Dark

After considering Matt's predictions I realised that they represented the very best that I could realistically hope for. I have therefore decided to keep my feet on the ground, manage my own expectations and go for:

Labour majority of about 90, with them getting in the region of 320 seats.

The Tories to get about 230, up from 166 in 2001.

I agree with Matt, that the LibDems will gain about 20 more Net.

Brown makes triumphant speech. Blair sacks Brown and gets pushed out himself within a year, not before bombing Iran. Brown returns to lead the Labour party but is dogged by insurgencies from former Blairites and the remaining two proper socialists in the parliamentary Labour party. The wheels fall off the economy. Israel win the Eurovision Song Contest sparking anti-Semitic riots in France. Saudi Arabia, Syria and the Lebanon are made honoury members of the EU to make up for the "blatant Zionist Eurovision imperialism". Gorgeous George is elected mayor of London.