Monday, October 27, 2008

Election

It seems odd to me that Florida ends up as the state with the largest population, and thus the greatest number of electoral collage votes, that isn't strongly aligned so often in US elections. The residents of Florida, generally speaking, are unlikely to live out the term of the new president. Many children might believe Disneyland is where good people go when they die. It's not far off, as many good Americans go to Florida when they're warming up to dying.

At the moment the polls suggest that Florida will not be required. In what is a popular move over the past 50 years, the vote has swung hard the other way after two terms from the Monkey King. Obama looks to have more than 300 electoral college votes in the bag, and plenty in the balance, as the most recent polls see it. He needs 270. But we can't count the votes before they are cast. I'll be overseas and away from the media when the vote happens, but I have my fingers crossed in one particular direction, and it's a predictable one for those who know me.

Florida, though, I expect to go to the Republicans. Their candidate has a lot in common with the residents of the Sunshine State. Presumably the huge publicity around Sarah Palin comes from the fact that McCain would be unlikely to survive the first year of his presidency, so Palin would be more important than the usual vice-president.